Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 60.345050 68.631632 77.131135 86.466726 96.399740 106.622187 117.907361
2025-11-30 48.702725 60.660560 73.502619 88.179467 104.357826 121.529226 141.018357
2025-12-07 41.763962 55.761834 71.314362 89.587997 110.209090 132.528726 158.293656
2025-12-14 35.129909 50.290949 67.702837 88.694152 112.883564 139.512716 170.693920
2025-12-21 29.308183 45.071683 63.783283 86.900946 114.058465 144.410663 180.396199
2025-12-28 27.072790 43.944242 64.462850 90.255562 120.958337 155.622482 197.058145
2026-01-04 24.450205 42.033228 63.963302 92.014062 125.840166 164.405449 210.864226
2026-01-11 21.183758 38.952022 61.760498 91.499374 127.863788 169.752184 220.623836
2026-01-18 18.359368 36.185736 59.739712 91.024815 129.784813 174.859884 230.006607
2026-01-25 16.258260 34.224832 58.605316 91.526518 132.781014 181.149109 240.694052
2026-02-01 13.977535 31.763618 56.636793 90.832049 134.206263 185.495212 249.044275
2026-02-08 12.179623 29.841923 55.261686 90.790511 136.350567 190.632503 258.270537
2026-02-15 10.245263 27.506118 53.200468 89.790045 137.279193 194.326139 265.842391
2026-02-22 9.165287 26.466584 52.899743 91.067723 141.041962 201.429207 277.460498
2026-03-01 8.263264 25.626557 52.818910 92.589497 145.078122 208.840107 289.429543
2026-03-08 6.862997 23.688224 50.998511 91.662903 145.919326 212.302168 296.637769
2026-03-15 5.447202 21.471973 48.608242 89.839333 145.517549 214.172008 301.878766
2026-03-22 5.244674 21.700080 49.983868 93.255543 151.925066 224.454633 317.281093
2026-03-29 4.747140 21.227075 50.220050 95.046312 156.194778 232.082161 329.471559
2026-04-05 3.894289 19.808761 48.864429 94.522220 157.382107 235.847795 336.956473
2026-04-12 3.156522 18.489517 47.581048 94.038989 158.578528 239.593181 344.393418
2026-04-19 2.651420 17.634931 47.011375 94.549862 161.071192 244.947337 353.784289
2026-04-26 2.058561 16.363205 45.648950 93.842693 161.892148 248.168262 360.542419